Josh Rosen Advanced Stats Breakdown Through Week 4
We’re only four games into the career of UCLA freshman Josh Rosen, but he already looks like one of the most talented quarterbacks in the Pac 12.
We’ve charted all of his games, so let’s take a look at how he’s fared in various situations. Below is his passing chart by distance and direction, followed by a brief breakdown of his successes and areas for improvement.
Excelling on the short throws
When throwing within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, Rosen has completed 80 percent of his passes (56-70).
Obviously these aren’t the most difficult throws (and a good chunk have come on wide receiver screens behind the line of scrimmage) but for a freshman to be competing 80 percent of his passes in this range is flat out impressive.
It’s also worth noting that Rosen has been the victim of six drops in this range, which would have raised his completion percentage to 89 percent.
Without question, this is Rosen’s most impressive area.
Excluding throw aways, Rosen is is completing 61.9 percent of his passes under pressure this season (26-42, 358 yards).
He has thrown three interceptions under pressure, two of which were critical turnovers against BYU, which could have cost the Bruins the game. But the overall production is remarkable for a true freshman.
Even more impressive is the fact that these aren’t simply check downs. Rosen’s average pass under pressure travels 10.6 yards downfield, which is actually marginally further than his non-pressure average of 10.02 yards.
This is the one area where Rosen could show some improvement.
Rosen has completed four of 13 passes thrown 15 yards downfield, but has suffered two drops. Had those two passes been caught, a 6-13 mark for a freshman certainly wouldn’t be disappointing.
However, four of Rosen’s passes have also been charted as uncatchable (all overthrows).
We are extremely strict with our definition of uncatchable, so as to not unfairly blame the quarterback for a potential misstep or mistimed jump by the receiver. In other words, when we label a pass uncatchable, we’re assuming not even Calvin Johnson on his best day would haul in the pass.
With that in mind, with nearly a third of Rosen’s deep passes missing the mark entirely, Rosen does have some work to do in this area.