Players we like…
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State ($9,900 on DK, $9,500 on FD)
That’s a hefty price tag for Elliott, but if you can afford it he’ll pay dividends.
Northern Illinois’ offense is strong enough to move the ball against Ohio State and keep the game just close enough to force Ohio State to use Elliott throughout the first half and possibly later.
Elliott has run for 222 yards, with 125 yards coming after contact. With Elliott’s power/speed combination, he’ll have no problem breaking off a few long runs against NIU and probably punching in a few near the goalline.
Aaron Burbridge, WR, Michigan State vs Air Force ($5,900 on DK, $6,500 on FD)
Burbridge has quietly been one of the most effective receivers in the nation this season, filling the Tony Lippett role in the Spartans offense.
Through two games, Burbridge has hauled in five of his seven contested targets, which bodes well for him to remain among Connor Cook’s go-to targets in the red zone.
Cook has attempted six passes in the red zone so far this season, with three going Burbridge’s direction.
Chris Godwin, WR, Penn State vs Rutgers ($3,900 on DK, $4,800 on FD)
DaeSean Hamilton was Christian Hackenberg’s go-to receiver last year, but the two have struggled to hook up this season.
Through two weeks, Godwin leads Penn State with 14 targets (Hamilton has 10) and nine receptions (Hamilton has four).
Given his target rate and price, Godwin looks like an excellent value play against the Rutgers defense.
Players we don’t like…
Kenny Golladay, WR, Northern Illinois vs Ohio State ($5,300 on DK)
For whatever reason, Golladay hasn’t been available on Fan Duel this season, but he’s been a stud for his Draft Kings owners (30+ points in both games).
Ohio State is a tough matchup, however, as cornerbacks Gareon Conley and Eli Apple are among the nation’s top duos. Through two games, opponents are just 3-10 when targeting Conley in coverage and 0-3 when going after Apple.
Maybe Golladay will sneak in some late points when OSU subs in the second team, but that’s not a risk worth taking given his price tag.
Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech ($7,800 on DK, $7,600 on FD)
Fuller has been a fantasy stud so far, and still carries a reasonable price tag given his production to date. But we’re staying away this week.
In the first two weeks, Fuller needed 20 targets to haul in 12 receptions—a disappointing rate for a star receiver.
With DeShone Kizer under center, we can’t be certain he’ll get as many targets, as Brian Kelly may favor the run while Kizer adjusts to his new role.
He’s unlikely to lay an egg, but we wouldn’t bet another monster game.
Jeremy Johnson, QB, Auburn vs LSU ($5,900 on Draft Kings, $7,700 on FD)
Hopefully you don’t need any stats to scare you away from Johnson, but just in case the lowered DK price enticed you, we’ll add him to the list.
LSU pressured Dak Prescott on 45 percent of his dropbacks last week, and a similar performance is certainly possibly against Auburn.
If you take Johnson, hold your breath in hopes of a few long runs, because he’s not getting much done through the air against LSU.